Ed Rollins is out. (Good thing too.) See Los Angeles Times , ” Michele Bachmann’s campaign sees major shake-up .” And from Chris Cillizza, at Washington Post , ” Michele Bachmann’s rise and fall in the 2012 Republican primary “: In politics, things change fast. Less than a month ago, Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann sat atop the political world fresh off her win at the Ames Straw Poll. Today, two new polls show Bachmann’s support badly eroding — a finding that when coupled with a Labor Day staff shakeup raise serious questions about her ability to recapture the momentum that shot her into the top tier over the summer. In a new Washington Post/ABC News poll, Bachmann now stands at six percent in a hypothetical 2012 Republican primary ballot, well short of the 13 percent she took in a mid-July Post/ABC survey of registered voters The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows a similar decline with Bachmann now winning 8 percent — half of the 16 percent she received in July. There appear to be a few reasons for Bachmann’s slippage. Keep reading. Rick Perry’s surge came primarily at Michele Bachmann’s expense. That said, Cillizza sounds a bit too bearish on Bachmann. She needs to stay focused on Iowa. Obviously her Ames victory got buried in the sensation of Rick Perry, but we’ve got a debate tomorrow and lots more retail politics before Iowa, where Bachmann remains the favorite daughter.
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Bachmann Campaign Shake-Up
Over at the Washington Post, Chris Cillizza breaks down the winners and losers in the debt deal. Here are a few of his winners Tea party: There were major questions coming into the 112th Congress about who would blink first — the largely establishment-aligned leaders of the new Republican House majority or the tea-party-aligned
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Debt Deal Winners And Losers
Jonathan Tobin provides the background, at Commentary , ” Purity Makes Good Politics “: The political value of Bachmann’s purity shouldn’t be underestimated. As Chris Cillizza wrote in today’s Washington Post, unlike most members of Congress, Bachmann’s legislative record is no burden to her candidacy. During her five years in Congress, Bachmann has not devoted any effort to “going along to get along” as most members must do in order to pass legislation. She has not brought home any “bacon” to her district because she viewed her purpose very differently than her colleagues. Instead of log rolling with other members to gain passage of pet legislation, she has spent all of her time “tilting at windmills” and generally running afoul of her party’s leadership. Many members of the GOP establishment, including fellow members of the Republican congressional caucus, probably rolled their eyes when they saw her Iowa ad. But those who view her record on the Hill as one of failure which ought to render her candidacy quixotic, don’t get it. Her purity may make her irrelevant in Washington, but it is exactly the ticket for pleasing movement conservatives who are disgusted with the pragmatic measures getting things done requires. Far from hurting Bachmann’s chances, this attitude helps her immeasurably. I’d add that I’m very impressed by how well Bachmann’s rolling out her campaign. It’s very professional, and she’s turning on the heat. Bachmann’s not far behind Mitt Romney at RCP’s polling averages for Iowa, and Romney’s already announced he’s skipping the Ames Straw Poll. where a victory for Bachmann could delivery tremendous momentum for the GOP presidential caucuses in January December . RELATED : At Des Moines Register , ” Bachmann is first to sign Family Leader’s pro-marriage pledge ” (via Memeorandum ).
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Michele Bachmann’s First Ad Buy Iowa: ‘Waterloo’
I’m not surprised at all. From Chris Cillizza, ” Gingrich presidential campaign implodes ” (via Memeorandum ): Former House speaker Newt Gingrich’s presidential campaign imploded Thursday afternoon with his entire senior staff resigning en masse, according to multiple sources familiar with the moves. “When the campaign and the candidate disagree on the path, they’ve got to part ways,” said Rick Tyler, a longtime Gingrich spokesman who was among those who left the campaign. Tyler as well as Rob Johnson, Gingrich’s campaign manager, Dave Carney and Katon Dawson, senior strategists to the effort, media consultant Sam Dawson, Iowa strategist Craig Schoenfeld, South Carolina operative Walter Whetsell and Georgia-based adviser Scott Rials have all stepped aside. Much of Gingrich’s early state operation was also headed for the exits, according to a one senior campaign source. Follow the link at top. Gingrich made the announcement on Facebook.
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Gingrich Presidential Campaign Disintegrates
Snort-worthy video of the day via the NSRC: “DNC Spokesperson Doesn’t Know Alaskan Dem Candidate’s Name.” Via WaPo : His name is Scott McAdams, and he stands a remote chance of beating Miller or current Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski in November. As The Post’s Chris Cillizza put it in an online live chat late Wednesday morning: “I have heard NOTHING from Democrats about Alaska and given the other races they have to worry about in the Senate, it’s hard for me to imagine them spending any money in the Last Frontier or targeting it in any significant way.” *** Suggestion for McAdams’ new campaign theme: “Say My Name, Say My Name…”
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DNC’s Alaska amnesia
Hmm, I wonder why that could be? At Gallup : President Obama’s job approval rating slipped to 43% for the week of Aug. 16-22, down one percentage point from the previous administration low point of a week ago. Also, from Chris Cillizza, ” Poll numbers in 1994, a bad year for Democrats, don’t bode well for them in 2010 ” (via Memeorandum ). It’s gonna be a electoral bloodbath. Image Credit : No Sheeples Here !
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Obama Weekly Job Approval Average at New Low of 43%
There was a point, early in the cycle, when Missouri's Senate contest between Republican Roy Blunt and Democrat Robin Carnahan looked like it was going to be among the most exciting and competitive Senate races of this cycle, if not the most exciting and competitive. Yet it's slid under the radar; the Post 's Chris Cillizza ranks the currently GOP-held seat the 9th most likely to switch. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee faces vulnerable incumbents in unexpected places like California, Washington, Wisconsin, and Nevada; with protecting those incumbents a priority, there are likely to be fewer resources to be thrown into Missouri. Carnahan has not led a poll since January . Blunt's leads aren't big, but they are consistent. Roy Blunt seems pretty sure that tying Carnahan to Obama is a winner: Obama's job approval in Missouri has been pretty bad, all year long. Jim Geraghty
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Put Bluntly, Missouri’s Senate Race Isn’t Looking That Competitive Lately
The Washington Post 's Chris Cillizza, July 1 : “Has Marco Rubio peaked too early?” Rasmussen, today : Rubio 36, Crist 34, Meek 15. As as I noted earlier this week, Rubio's campaign been off the air for more than two months. Jim Geraghty
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Rasmussen Puts Rubio Back in Front Again
