At this point, Carly Fiorina looks like an underdog, but not by too much : Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer’s bid for reelection in California against Republican challenger Carly Fiorina is once again a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Boxer picking up 49 percent of the vote, her highest level of support since mid-July. Fiorina earns 45 percent support. Two percent prefer some other candidate, and five percent are undecided. Jim Geraghty

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She Leads, but Barbara Boxer Shouldn’t Breathe Too Easily

Democracy Corps, Carville's outfit, finds that among likely voters nationwide , 42 percent prefer the Democratic candidate, 49 percent prefer the GOP candidate. Democrats lead among the “drop off voters” — i.e., the folks not likely to vote this year — 47 percent to 40 percent. Jim Geraghty

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I’ll Bet These Numbers Left Carville Wincing. Er, More Than Usual.